Despite piles of research showing what works in raising retention and graduation rates, more emphasis on the need for college graduates, and new instruments to measure student engagement, ACT published data yesterday showing we still lose about a quarter of college students after one year and only manage to graduate about half of our students in five years. These are nearly identical to the rates of twenty years ago.
Here’s what the rates look like in a chart (because ACT’s charts are designed to show year-to-year changes, the chart below utilizes their data to show how minor the change has been):Over a period when enrollment increased more than twenty percent, it is the failure of our nation’s colleges and universities to increase student retention and graduation rates that are causing our higher education stagnation.


Chad Aldeman
Kristen Amundson
John E. Chubb
Constance Clark
Peter Cookson Jr.
Thomas Dawson
Joni Finney
Andrew Gillen
Sara Mead
Jeff Selingo
Ben Wildavsky
Mandy Zatynski 


And, almost surely, these stagnating rates are the cause of our overall college graduate problem, the reason why we no longer rank #1 in the world in producing college graduates.
Chad, comments?
Stable retention rates, when enrollment has increased 20% is a victory. That would be especially true if suburban schools are failing as badly as some claim.
Suburban schools are another subject about which I know little. But fair is fair.
And speaking of fair, after billions spent on NCLB, we should be seeing kids with higher skills entering high schools, community colleges, and universities. Shouldn't we have an honest discussion about that?
And included in the definition of honest discussion, shouldn't we all acknowledge the limitations of our perspectives and both sides of the evidence?
john thompson